Talk:Meteorite/@comment-84.107.132.29-20120731180529/@comment-177.180.180.82-20120916173625

Actually, the calculations in the article are correct. Your calculation makes no sense whatsoever.

For one broken orb, the probability that no meteorite will spawn is 50%. The total probability is halved for every subsequent broken orb (though the probability for each individual broken orb is always 50%).